FreePint Newsletter 204 - Career resilience, M&A
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ISSN 1460-7239 13th April 2006 No.204
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IN THIS ISSUE
-------------
EDITORIAL
MY FAVOURITE TIPPLES
By Jane Macoustra
FREEPINT BAR
In Association with Factiva
a Dow Jones & Reuters Company
JINFO :: JOBS IN INFORMATION
Researcher
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Senior Information Professionals
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TIPS ARTICLE
"Thriving on change: The right stuff for
resilience in an information career"
By Kim Dority
REVIEW
"Cashing In with Content - How innovative marketers use
digital information to turn browsers into buyers"
Written by David Meerman Scott
Reviewed by Patricia Daze
FEATURE ARTICLE
"European Unions: what you need to know about
international mergers and acquisitions"
By Jill Fenton
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EDITORIAL
By William Hann
I must admit to being the world's worst 'assumer', assuming that my
work colleagues somehow magically know the things that I know, without
my having to tell them. Much of the time this isn't a problem, but
when times change (which they do continuously) then it isn't the best
way to run a company.
So I feel particularly privileged when I get a chance to see how other
(much larger) companies manage their communications both internally
and externally. Spending time with the Factiva Advisory Board (FAB) is
one such opportunity, and last week's event gave an intimate insight
into the issues and opportunities that 'change' is creating for Factiva.
This year's meeting was one of the most interactive of the six that I
have attended, alongside significant changes in leadership --
following the installation of Claude Green as interim CEO, interviewed
in this month's Information World Review --
and the pressure on traditional publishing models that the Internet is
putting on information aggregators like Factiva.
Change, and the opportunities it presents to information workers, is
highlighted in Kim Dority's excellent 'call to action' in today's
FreePint Newsletter:
"We don't have a choice about whether or not to accept change, or deal
with it, or be touched by it. Our only choice is in how we respond -
will we take the initiative to lead the opportunities embedded in the
changes hitting us, or will we let others determine our options?"
You'll hopefully be noticing some positive changes at FreePint too,
especially if you're receiving today's issue by email. Following
feedback from members through the recent FreePint survey, and with
this newsletter now topping 7,000 words per issue, we are providing
links to the full-text of articles in our new online HTML version,
which contains author photos, formatted layout and colour, table of
contents and more .
Change is positive. Change is exciting. The information profession is
seeing more change now than ever before, so let's make the most of the
opportunities or suffer the consequences, as Kim Dority states:
"Will we deal positively, assertively, confidently with change - or be
clobbered by it? The alternative may not be death, but very possibly
it's worse - marginalization, where our contributions are no longer
needed or valued. For those of us in the information profession, the
fear should not be of failure, but of invisibility."
Cheers
William Hann
Managing Editor and Founder, FreePint
e: william.hann@freepint.com
t: 0870 141 7474
i: +44 870 141 7474
FreePint is a Registered Trademark of Free Pint Limited (R) 1997-2006
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MY FAVOURITE TIPPLES
By Jane Macoustra
* A useful tool that I use for research, if I want some "commentary"
from the ground, comes from a number of discussion forums. Try Motley
Fool for local information or
.
* I like Vivisimo because of its clustering
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relevant to your research.
* The Fuld Intelligence Index is a great start for looking at
researching companies and industries. There is also access to a
dictionary and various white papers
.
* I enjoy reading Scientific Computing Newsline
which is a
free online journal that provides a lot of interesting information
aimed at scientists who rely on computers. Subscribe at the URL
above.
* Need an RSS (really simple syndication) feed? The RSS Compendium
has one of the largest selections I have come
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to your desktop.
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Jane Macoustra is the owner of Tai-Pan Research
. She is the author of the
Bar Orphans article that was recently published in FreePint
.
Submit your top five Favourite Tipples. See the guidelines at
.
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One FreePinter is creating a wiki for local history in their area, and
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Back to the FreePint Bar:
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Remember, if you'd like to receive the FreePint Bar Digest, which
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Production Editor, FreePint
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TIPS ARTICLE
"Thriving on change: The right stuff for
resilience in an information career"
By Kim Dority
It has been said that good luck is the result of preparedness meeting
opportunity. Good career luck is no different: if you systematically
prepare for the opportunities that changes in the profession create,
then you're in a much better to position to recognize and respond to
them.
A lot of this is simply training yourself to be aware of the world
around you, but with an eye toward circumstances that could benefit
from what you know, or know how to do. It also helps to think through
some basic approaches to monitoring your environment that will help
you target opportunities that most closely align with your individual
goals.
As you start exploring your own changing landscape, think about the
following approaches to help organize your process.
Understand what to look for
---------------------------
A number of business experts, economists, and futurists have weighed
in on which change categories are most likely to produce economic
opportunity, including management thought leader Peter Drucker in his
book 'Innovation and Entrepreneurship' (Collins, 1993). Arguing that
opportunities for change could be categorized and then monitored, he
identified emerging trends, technology advances, changes in
established processes and changes in what he termed "industry and
market structures" among other defining events or trends that brought
about opportunity.
William Bridges, author of 'Jobshift: How to Prosper in a Workplace
Without Jobs' (Perseus, 1995), and expert on change and transitions,
included among his hit list: a roadblock or a bottleneck, a shortage
or limitation, or a chronic weakness. He also suggested that any
interface between groups having different values, languages, or
outlooks would necessitate new solutions.
Do any of these resonate in the library and information worlds?
Consider:
* downsizing and layoffs at all types of libraries
* outsourcing of key operational functions
* the Internet's ongoing morphing
* new information and communications technologies
* disintermediation between user and information resource, i.e. the
"Google effect", where users connect directly with information
without intervention from librarians or other information
professionals
* digitization of information resources, and "born digital" publishing
* the internationalization of information
* the aging of the information profession
* organizations recognizing the value of information (if not always of
the information centre)
* the prominence of individual, alternative information feeds through
blogs, etc.
* the merging landscapes of the education, information,
communications, and entertainment industries
* perception of 24/7 accessibility of information
What opportunities do these changes represent? A recent article in
Library Journal [Brian Kenney. "Ann Arbor's Web Site Maximizes
Blogging Software," Library Journal, v. 130, n. 14 (September 1,
2005): p. 27] described how the Ann Arbor (Michigan) public library
launched its innovative new website - made up
of seven blogs [New product]. Although fewer corporations are
investing in corporate libraries, more and more are embedding their
information professionals in functional teams, where they are key
assets [New role]. Although more users can access information
directly, this situation has created a stronger teaching/coaching role
for information professionals than ever before [New service].
Outsourcing information functions creates a need for freelancers and
independents to step in on a project basis [New business].
In fact, every one of the changes noted above either has or will
create opportunities for people who find, use, manage and share
work-related information.
Target your areas to monitor
----------------------------
There are three places to monitor for change: in your own environment,
in that of the constituencies served by your organization or business,
and in the world at large. For example, your own environment might be
public libraries, its constituencies a community of seniors, young
adults, 'home schoolers', entrepreneurs, adult learners, and book club
members.
Or your own environment might be the corporate library of an aerospace
engineering firm, and its constituencies defence contractors, research
and development (R&D) firms, government agencies, and regulators.
Or it might be an academic library, serving constituencies of
traditional undergraduate students, graduate students, non-traditional
students, full-time and adjunct faculty, and possibly alumni.
Or perhaps your environment is that of an information broker, and the
constituencies you serve are local small businesses, or law firms
specializing in environmental issues, or high-tech start-ups in the
biotech arena.
The point is that changes to the environments of your constituencies
will have as much impact on your professional life as changes specific
to your immediate environment. So it makes sense to pay as much
attention to what's going on in their lives as in yours. Changes there
can be as likely to produce opportunity for you as those at your
fingertips.
Beyond that, be aware of the world at large. iPods started out as cool
toys for early adopters and adolescents, but they're going to end up
playing a major role in how we think about, find, manage, and store
information. Keep your mind open to taking that creative leap of
imagination, and look for connections - especially for those outside
the traditional information sphere that may become solutions within
it.
Set up a monitoring process
---------------------------
Staying attuned to changes in your world and others' involves
monitoring information, looking for specific types of 'signifiers' and
thinking creatively about possible impacts and opportunities.
Think about identifying context: extrapolating meaning and possibility
from emerging patterns. Look for information about new vocabulary,
technology issues, and developments in your areas of specialization;
about emerging trends and patterns; about disruptive ideas and
technologies and events; about doors that are closing as well as those
just opening.
Then take it to the next level. Based on the information and trend
data you gather, extrapolate where those trends and ideas and
disruptions might lead. Who will need what you can do - or what you'll
soon know how to do? What position or role can you create that may not
yet have a name or description? And what will you do to stay ahead of
this curve?
Where to look? Periodicals, print and online, generally form the basis
of an environmental scan, but blogs have added a new and often very
useful type of information feed. Conferences are always a great source
of emerging trends and technologies; even if you can't attend, many of
the presentations will be available online after the event. Special
'trends' issues of business publications are a great source of
forecasts for key technologies, regulatory issues, potential
international impacts, demographic trends, and other market
influences; analyst reports when available are also valuable for their
analysis and forecasts. Another source of trend indicators is
professional associations, which often do annual forecasts on issues
of interest to their membership.
Anticipate the future
---------------------
Take a look at the publications that do annual forecasts, including
business titles, science and tech publications, and social-science and
futures-oriented issues like The Futurist. Explore their predictions,
and try to identify a threat and an opportunity for information
professionals in as many specific forecasts as possible. How might you
- and the profession - position for each? Build scenarios: if this
outcome happened, what would it mean to me? Do I think it likely? How
would I position my career to prepare for this?
Read job postings, look for changing parameters for traditional jobs,
as well as new positions with possibilities for information
professionals. Where there's a match between your skills and an
unusual position, think through what makes this type of work valuable
to the employer, then consider for whom else it would be valuable as
well. Can you pitch this role to other potential employers, or this
service to potential clients? Look, too, for people who need your
services but don't know it yet.
Make opportunity work for you
-----------------------------
Do you have technical skills and industry knowledge that make you the
best person to create a new, networked market-research process for
your employer? Does your knowledge of languages position you to create
outreach programs for a new immigrant community? Does your
track-record working with local non-profits make you the perfect
person to head up the new social innovation centre? Could your
knowledge of South America and international business information
resources perfectly suit you to join the company's launch team working
on introduction of its new product in Brazil?
The purpose of paying attention to these types of circumstances is to
help you think about which ones might offer you an opportunity to
create something new - a service, product, program, solution, or
position - that takes you in the direction of your career goals.
Whether you aspire to a traditional, non-traditional, or independent
path, or even an eclectic combination of all of three, being able to
identify the opportunity in change help move you toward that future.
Creating your change strategies
-------------------------------
Your ability to approach change from a positive perspective is
critical to the success of your efforts to grow your career over a
span of years and decades. Consider the following approaches:
1. Embrace beginner's mind, and get comfortable with not knowing
When you're an adult and you're used to being good at your job, you're
also used to a high level of competency. Having to start all over
again, to be in a place where you don't know what you're doing, can be
unnerving at best. Yet this is exactly where change frequently lands
us.
Without a willingness to move out of our competency zones, we can't
grow. If we can't grow, we can't adapt to change. Instead, we need to
get beyond our initial embarrassment at not knowing in order to reach
the openness, lack of ego, and humility that defines a beginner's
mind. Only then can we position for the opportunity inherent in the
changes around us.
2. Develop a sense of adventure
Okay, so most of us are probably not going to rush right out and take
up sky diving. And I have to admit, no way in the world am I going to
eat raw fish. But most of us could stand to cultivate a bit more
openness to life, and this is just the opportunity change offers us.
3.Work on being more open to opportunities for growth
Albert Einstein pointed out that an apt definition of insanity is
doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different
outcomes. Why not open up to change and see what happens. Respect your
need for security, but push yourself outward when you can. Baby steps
are still steps forward.
4. Get used to letting go
One of the toughest things about change in your professional life is
that it often entails the loss of something you've become attached to.
It can be relationships you've come to enjoy, work you've developed an
expertise in, a pay check you've relied on. But the reality is, things
change, and your only healthy option here is to accept that and not
take it personally.
I read somewhere that in the Afghan language, the verb 'to cling' is
the same as the verb 'to die'. Yet, for most of us, it's simply part of
our natures to want to keep close to us those things we've come to
care about. Unfortunately, it is the nature of the world that change
will often result in their loss. We can be angry and bitter about
this, or we can recognize and understand the immutable flow of life,
and of our professional lives, and simply accept it.
5.Be patient with the unfolding, rather than rushing to closure
How many of us read the last few pages of the mystery before we start
the book? How many of us want to close in on a decision before all the
options have been put on the table? How many of us start filling in
the test answers before we've finished reading the instructions?
Change is, among other things, an extended process that unfolds in its
own time, as do our reactions to the changes we're confronting. It can
be frustrating for those who want to quickly move to resolution -
okay, my life has changed drastically, I will give myself three days
to process my emotions around this, and then everything will be "back
to normal". Needless to say, this strategy rarely works in real life.
6. Develop your strategies for dealing with chaos
One of the most interesting points that Alvin Toffler made more than
twenty years ago in Future Shock was that the people who dealt most
successfully with ongoing and chaotic change in their lives always had
some corner of calm and order that anchored them.
It might be a ritual like spending all morning on Sundays reading the
Times. For someone else it might be having a cup of tea at 4.00 every
afternoon. But the point is to have some routine or ritual or space
that is consistent, orderly, and sustaining. That way, as chaos swirls
around you, you can remain as grounded as possible.
7. Let go of perfection
Anyone who has ever taught a class of library students has seen the
debilitating effects of perfectionism writ large. I don't know if it's
hardwired into our profession or we develop it as we go along, but we
all seem to be so focused on doing a perfect job of whatever we're
doing that we often have no energy or initiative left over for any
broader perspective. Change is especially unnerving for perfectionists
because by its very nature it means we have to do something new, which
we don't yet know how to do, so we can't be perfect at it.
We have to be willing to fail, to be wrong, to make mistakes without
losing our sense of self esteem. It's simply the only way we will ever
be able to move forward with the world.
8. Learn your risk-taking style
Initiating change always entails a level of risk. I'm not talking
about life-threatening stuff like bungee jumping here; I'm talking
about the really important things - your job, your self-esteem, your
mortgage, or perhaps even more distressing, the respect of your
colleagues.
Some of us find the easiest way to take a risk is by simply closing
our eyes and leaping off the cliff. Others will want to have prepared
ten contingency plans for every possible negative outcome. Others, and
I count myself among them, will practically research something to
death until they are sure that the risk they are taking is an informed
one.
Whatever your risk-taking style is, it will help you manage your fears
around change if you have explored and understood how you most
comfortably or effectively deal with it.
9. Invest yourself in the process, not the outcome
Yes, there is the whole Zen thing about the journey being more
important than the destination, and on our more enlightened days, many
of us can totally connect with that approach. However, there's also a
very practical reason to look at our professional lives this way -
very few of us control the money, which means that we also don't
control the outcome.
Instead, focus on the work itself, and how you can grow professionally
from it. Establish your personal learning agenda and a set of goals
for yourself - for example, work on your management or team-building
skills, focus on practicing process innovation, or identify some other
skill that you want to develop or improve. That way, no matter what
the long-term outcome of your work, you will have accomplished your
own goals.
10. Develop an expectation of personal resiliency
Change is going to bring a lot of setbacks with it. We are going to
mess up, fall down, and just generally flail about as we try to figure
things out. Life's messy that way. But you can make a decision that
you can retrench, recover, and move forward. You can know that you're
smart, capable, and important to your communities, so you need to show
up with your best stuff every day, even on those days when you have no
clue what you're doing.
If you decide that you are the type of person who finds a way to grow
in any situation, you will be. This is a combination of frame,
attitude, and will. It can become a matter of principle to us that
although setbacks may detour or distract us, they will never defeat or
derail us.
We don't have a choice about whether or not to accept change, or deal
with it, or be touched by it. Our only choice is in how we respond -
will we take the initiative to lead the opportunities embedded in the
changes hitting us, or will we let others determine our options? Will
we deal positively, assertively, confidently with change - or be
clobbered by it? The alternative may not be death, but very possibly
it's worse - marginalization, where our contributions are no longer
needed or valued. For those of us in the information profession, the
fear should not be of failure, but of invisibility.
Looking for opportunity in change is not meant to deny the fact that
in a dynamic - okay, chaotic - environment, there will be some serious
dislocation going on. People lose their jobs when things change, and
there's not much we can do to stop it. What we can do instead is to
assume this may happen, and be prepared for it.
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kim Dority is an information consultant specializing in information
strategy and content development, and teaches a course in alternative
careers for LIS professionals in the University of Denver MLIS program
. This article was adapted from a chapter in
Rethinking Information Work: A Career Guide for Librarians and Other
Information Professionals, due out in fall of 2006 from Libraries
Unlimited . Kim can be reached at
.
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REVIEW
"Cashing In with Content - How innovative marketers use
digital information to turn browsers into buyers"
Reviewed by Patricia Daze
The key to effective and profitable web marketing is a focus on
substance over style. Flashy visuals and ad-ware aren't what sell and
generate customer loyalty online: content does.
What is content? Content is targeted information, tuned to the needs
of each user, and designed to draw users into purchases. Effective
website publishers understand the needs of the customer at every
stage of the decision continuum, through passing interest to warranty,
and provide content to inform and supplement that decision every step
of the way.
Meerman Scott has selected twenty establishments whose content on the
web is effective at moving visitors to action, whether it be to buy,
subscribe, or donate. The range of companies include e-commerce,
business-to-business, non-profit, educational, and even political
entities, providing an exemplar reference for every type of
enterprise. Each has its own chapter that begins with an executive
summary and the key takeaway on effective use of the content ideas on
the site. This makes it easy to skim and skip to the examples of
interest.
The details of each chapter mix narrative description with interviews
of the people responsible for the company web content, who provide
various insights behind the content decisions and content strategy
process. One drawback is sometimes the narrative and interview
comments are repetitive, but this definitely hammers home the
concepts. The generous amount of screenshots are sufficient to
illustrate the text and not leave one feeling the book needs to be
read in front of a computer.
So what is content? Some of the salient examples include:
* White papers, articles, and prose that educate. Sharing subject
matter expertise with the beginner as well as the professional, with
the person with a simple curiosity as well as the serious spender.
The content is highly segmented and seamlessly organized for the
wide range of visitors, and covers not only the products themselves,
but also the field of specialty.
* Simplified access to products. For example establishing a taxonomy
to add focus and aid searching.
* Interactive components, like quizzes, chat rooms, and blogs, to
sustain interest and provide feedback on visitors' needs.
* Tools like estimators, calculators, and worksheets, to aid
purchasing decisions.
The last two chapters of the book bring together the best practices
gleaned from the preceding examples and comments on lessons learned.
It is paramount to take the time to really understand the needs of the
constituents, apply the correct segmentation, and cater content for
each segment. This is not a quick exercise and some of these
best-in-class companies took one to two years to profile their
customers accurately and understand how to nourish the relationship
throughout the buying cycle.
Another common factor of success is a commitment to a content
strategy, focusing not on web tools, databases, and programs, but on
the substance of the information on the site. It is important to take
on a publisher's perspective, rather than a marketing one, and include
a team of dedicated writers and creators of content.
Overall, the techniques described to attract browsers and buyers are
not new, but this book brings the focus on content to the fore. It is
a quick-read compendium of effective examples and proven ideas in
action.
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Patricia Daze works as a Business Systems Analyst and Project Manager
in the Information Management group of a network communications
company in Canada. Her previous experience includes work as a
corporate librarian. An avid reader of non-fiction, she can be
contacted at .
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FEATURE ARTICLE
"European Unions: what you need to know about
international mergers and acquisitions"
By Jill Fenton
You may have noticed, over the past few months, press and market
commentary regarding the increased number (and value) of domestic and
cross-border publicly listed merger & acquisition (M&A) deals in
Europe. According to Thomson Financial, the value of M&A deals
announced in Europe in 2006 so far is more than double that of the
same period in 2005 (The Times, 20th March 2006). In 2005, almost a
third of all European takeovers were cross-border deals (Thomson
Financial, The Wall Street Journal Europe, 30th December 2005). An
article in the 6 April issue of The Economist provides an up-to-date
review of the hope and the hype of takeovers
.
The volume increase in deals can be attributed to a number of factors,
including:
* growth in investor, company and consumer confidence
* cash-rich public companies revelling in recent restructuring, cost-
cutting, etc.
* favourable economic environments and low interest rates
* reduction in domestic organic growth opportunities due to
consolidation and stagnation
* relaxation of regulations
* introduction of common accounting standards.
Who's had the urge to merge?
----------------------------
M&A activity has been evident throughout Europe and in a wide range of
sectors (notably, few have been cross-sector). A few examples
include:
Sector: Industry
Acquirer: Mittal Steel, Netherlands
Target: Arcelor, Luxembourg
Sector: Utility
Acquirer: E.ON, German
Target: Endesa, Spain
Sector: Telecoms
Acquirer: Telefonica SA, Spain
Target: O2 plc, UK
Sector: Financial
Acquirer: Unicredito, Spain
Target: HVB Group, Germany
Sector: Financial
Acquirer: BNP Paribas, France
Target: Banca Nazional del Lavoro, Italy
Sector: Consumer
Acquirer: Pernod Ricard, France
Target: Allied Domecq, UK
Source: press articles; Hoovers.com
According to City analysts, assuming positive economic and market
trends continue, the enthusiasm for M&A as a key growth vehicle will
remain. Paulo Pereira, head of European M&A at Morgan Stanley, for
example, commented in late 2005 that giant merger-of-equals deals were
likely within Europe. The financial services, pharmaceutical, energy
and consumer sectors are likely targets (The Wall Street Journal
Europe, 30th December 2005).
Why do I care?
--------------
Very interesting, you may be thinking, but why do I care?
Consider the following scenarios:
* A colleague has asked you what shareholder value means - how do you
answer in the context of M&A?
* A senior partner wants to understand what's happening in the
European markets, for particular sectors or across sectors, and why.
How do you respond?
* You have to produce a profile on a domestic sector, including
details of players, strategies and opportunities, and non-domestic
companies and influences keep popping up in your research. What
should you consider and include?
* Your firm's client has been approached by a European bidder. The
client has asked for your advice: What are the potential market
opportunities to justify this deal?
* You keep hearing about globalisation and want to understand more
about the real opportunities: Could your business/clients benefit?
OK, so these are rather specific examples depending on your line of
work, but the principle remains the same: Those of us who work with
and use business information should be aware of the key influences,
drivers, sectors and sources involved in company mergers and
acquisitions. This knowledge enables us to effectively inform and
advise our colleagues and clients on market opportunities.
Getting up to speed on the how and why of M&A requires the usual
combination of tools including open web, free sources, the ability to
ask good questions, and your own know-how. Let's take a look at how we
can address some of those questions that touch on M&A:
Knowledge of why M&A occurs
---------------------------
M&A can be used by publicly traded companies for many different
reasons: to grow, to generate cost-savings or to exploit cross-selling
opportunities. The key principle to remember, however, is that these
companies are trying to create 'shareholder value' - the 'pot' of
equity available to shareholders (the owners of the company). M&A is
only one of many options available to increase the value and
financial wealth of a company.
Increasing the pot (that is, raising equity) relies partly on the
continued success of the stock value. Hence it is crucial for a
company to ensure it remains attractive to investors, for example, by
merging with a product-compatible competitor. A positive investment
cycle may look like this:
consumers/investors investing => high stock value => increased equity
=> increased shareholder value => consumers/investors investing =>
high stock value => increased equity => increased shareholder value
Q: A colleague has asked you what shareholder value means - how do you
answer in the context of M&A?
To answer this question adequately, you have to be able to explain the
term, but then also put it in context. You can create context by using
examples from the field, such as:
* Why have companies within X sector been involved in M&A deals?
* Have the deals been successful?
* What were they trying to achieve?
* Is this an option for my client/company?
Numerous publications, definitions and examples on the internet
describe 'shareholder value' and M&A principles. In fact, many
companies exist purely as advisors on these topics. Business journals
and consulting and corporate finance houses are often a good source
for a basic overview.
* Wikipedia -
* McKinsey Quarterly Review -
* Harvard Business Review -
* Forbes -
* BusinessWeek -
Consider the UK retail bank merger of Halifax plc and Bank of
Scotland. At the time of the merger, effective in September 2001, the
UK financial services market was dominated by large national retail
banks, such as Barclays and Lloyds TSB. Bank of Scotland and Halifax
recognised that they needed to increase their customer base, product
mix and brand positioning to gain competitive advantage. Combining
the Bank of Scotland's strong Scottish retail banking business and
successful corporate banking business with the largest mortgage
provider in the UK and a key retail banking player (Halifax) was seen
as the answer.
The group achieved its merger synergies target of GBP 800mn for end
2005 by interim 2004. It now has the largest private shareholder
register in the UK with 2.5m private shareholders and claims to be the
largest mortgage and savings provider in the UK with 22 million
customers and assets of over GBP 540bn. It also states that it is a
major player in the new current account and credit card markets in the
UK. The company had profits before tax at 31st December 2005 of GBP
4.8bn.
Knowledge of key external drivers
---------------------------------
M&A activity ebbs and flows in relation to external drivers; it
doesn't occur in a vacuum. To understand the underlying reasons for
mergers, you must also understand the influencing external drivers
with regard to when M&A becomes an attractive vehicle.
Q. A senior partner wants to understand what's happening in the
European markets, for particular sectors or across sectors, and
why. How do you respond?
Responding adequately to this question requires review of such factors
as consumer and market confidence, macroeconomic indicators, and
industry-specific factors, for example regulation.
Consumer and market confidence
------------------------------
As investment confidence grows (due to a number of factors including
macroeconomic, individual company circumstances, etc.), market
activity boosts equity volumes which in turn increases the wealth of
invested companies. Tracking consumer and market investment and
consumer borrowing is a useful way of estimating the potential wealth
of companies and sectors and therefore the likelihood of growth
opportunities, including M&A.
Again, the positive cycle may look like this:
consumers/investors investing => high stock value => increased equity
=> increased shareholder value ('cash-rich' companies) =>
consumers/investors investing => high stock value => increased equity
=> increased shareholder value ('cash-rich' companies)
The negative cycle may look like this:
consumers/investors borrowing/cautious => low stock value => increased
debt => reduced shareholder value ('poor' companies) =>
consumers/investors borrowing/cautious => low stock value => reduced
shareholder value ('poor' companies)
However, do note that these cycles do not apply consistently to all
sectors. For example, the financial services sector works in a very
different way.
It is also relevantto consider regulatory and legal developments
within countries with regard to future attractiveness to investors
(individuals or institutional), for example pension regulations.
Sources are often country-specific and may even be industry-specific:
* Cantos - - (UK) video database including CEO
clips and statements by leading analysts
* HBOS plc - - (UK) economic research
including housing and savings surveys
* Council for Mortgage Lenders - - (UK)
consumer borrowing and financial market movements
* International Financial Services London -
* FTSE - (UK)
* FESE - - Federation of European Securities
Exchanges
* Country central bank sites
Macroeconomic indicators
------------------------
Consumer and market confidence relate directly to macroeconomic
movements. Interest rates, for example, have a direct affect on
individual borrowing and therefore investment capacity. Consumer
spending, consumer debt and bank borrowing rates are all relevant to
the potential wealth of equity markets. Monitoring key macroeconomic
indicators on a regular basis (even through monthly/quarterly news
bulletins) should give you a good idea of how 'strong' the current
markets, and trading companies within them, are.
Macroeconomic research is far beyond the scope of this article - in
fact, it's probably a good topic for a series of articles all on its
own. However, these resources can be a good first-step in developing a
portfolio of information on applicable macroeconomic factors affecting
M&A activity:
* EIU WorldData -
* Europa Eurostat -
* Office for National Statistics - (UK)
* Office of the Deputy Prime Minister - (UK)
* Country central bank sites
Knowledge of European companies and sectors
-------------------------------------------
Q. You have to produce a profile on a domestic sector, including
details of players, strategies and opportunities - and non-domestic
companies and influences keep popping up in your research. What
should you consider and include?
Q. Your firm's client has been approached by a European bidder. The
client has asked for your advice: What are the potential market
opportunities to justify this deal?
There are obviously hundreds of sources out there to help you research
a company and its market/s which I won't list here. One tip to add
value to your profile or overview: Are you considering the key
'shareholder value' factor during this due diligence exercise and
asking the correct questions:
* What is the company/client trying to achieve - what is its strategy?
* What has happened in this market historically?
* What are the players doing?
* Is there consolidation, stagnation, or growth? Why?
* Where are the targets and acquirers, if any?
* What is the market and investment environment like, and what does
the future look like?
* Which other sectors are showing strength and why? Are they a threat?
* What are the barriers to growth, for instance, is regulation a
factor?
* Where are the domestic and non-domestic opportunities?
* Where are the 'shareholder value' growth opportunities?
You need to consider all 'growth' options (M&A may not always be
relevant). Hence it is vital to understand all the external factors to
be able to identify alternatives.
Again, consider the HBOS example above. Sources to analyse the Bank of
Scotland/Halifax merger and its reasons and outcomes
included; company literature (for example annual reports);
stockbroker/analyst commentary (AFX News is a useful source
); UK retail banking sector commentary,
history and data, available from market research and industry
associations (for example the British Bankers Association
); and general press monitoring. Identifying
sources of key external drivers and their projected influence on
future business opportunities was also important. For example,
historical and estimated trends in the UK housing sector, consumer
spending, borrowing, unemployment and interest rates are all vital to
HBOS' primary business line: retail mortgages. In addition, trends in
European retail banking, most notably the merger of Abbey and Banco
Santander in 2004, should be considered as these could ultimately
impact HBOS's market share and highlight opportunities either domestic
or otherwise.
Knowledge of M&A sources
------------------------
Q. You keep hearing about globalisation and want to understand more
about the real opportunities: Could your business/clients benefit?
Having the ability to track historic, rumoured and progressing M&A
transactions can be very useful when assessing the attractiveness of a
market or trends within a sector.
Given their very nature, M&A deal sources tend to be in the corporate
domain and are specialised by design. A key tip when using these
systems: paper-based planning often helps before you venture online.
Before you log in to a paid information source, or even before you
open your browser for a web-crawl, ask yourself: what exactly are you
looking for? Target, acquirer, geography, sector, date, value ... ?
Pre-planning can save a lot of time and headache.
Alternatively, business and news sources should give you sufficient
information to determine which companies, sectors and countries are
being targeted, why, by whom and for how much.
Getting abreast of and staying up-to-date with the evolution of M&A
can be approached much like any other ongoing intelligence and
awareness project. Pick a few sources to review on a regular basis,
and keep a file of ideas and insights you develop as you review them.
Conclusion
----------
M&A activity in Europe and throughout the world seems likely to
continue at a healthy rate for the foreseeable future.
As a business information professional today, maintaining a 'silo'
understanding of a market or player is not sufficient. You must also
maintain a thorough understanding of the key components: influencers
(value creation), drivers (consumer and market confidence;
macroeconomic indicators) and players (why, who?) within a sector.
Such an understanding will help you appreciate the bigger picture and
effectively advise your colleagues or clients on market opportunities.
With the predicted increase in cross-border M&A, an understanding of
non-domestic markets and sources will become more significant with
time.
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Jill Fenton is the founder of Fenton Research Ltd, a London-based
research company providing high quality, tailored research and advice
to help clients achieve their business information and research goals.
Jill has over 10 years of professional business research experience
working within professional services firms in research management and
analyst positions. Jill is a member of the City Information Group, the
Association of Independent Information Professionals and Special
Libraries Association. She can be reached at
or via her website
.
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